00:05, 14.03.2009 — Новости
автор: webagro.net

DJ CBOT Soy Review:Lower, Position Evening, Acreage Outlooks (ENG)


By Andrew Johnson Jr

Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES


CHICAGO (Dow Jones)--Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures stumbled lower
Friday, back filling prior gains on end-of-week position squaring and bearish
new crop acreage outlooks.

CBOT March soybeans settled 16 1/2 cents lower at $8.82 1/2, and May soybeans
ended 5 1/2 cents lower at $8.76 1/2. November soybeans settled 17 3/4 cents
lower at $8.23 3/4. In pit trades, speculative fund selling was estimated at
3,000 lots.

May soymeal settled $0.20 higher at $276.70 per short ton. May soyoil
finished 21 points lower at 30.17 cents per pound. The general sense of
economic uncertainty coupled with overbought conditions following recent gains
encouraged traders to book some profits in an effort to reduce risk exposure
heading into the weekend, analysts said.

The market is teetering on the movements of outside markets, and traders are
taking a cautious approach with economic jitters flowing, a CBOT floor analyst
said.

The absence of the supportive push from outside equity and crude oil markets
limited buyer interest as well, with bearishly perceived 2009 acreage forecasts
adding weight to pin prices in negative territory.

Old/new crop spreading and corn/soybean spreading was featured also,
reflective of private acreage estimates pointing to higher new crop soybean
acres. Otherwise, activity was subdued with traders taking a wait and see
approach in the absence of fresh demand news.

Private analytical firm Informa Economics on Friday pegged 2009 soybean
plantings at 81.5 million acres, according to traders. In January, Informa
estimated 2009 U.S. soybean plantings at 80.8 million acres and corn acres at
82.7 million, according to traders. The U.S. Department of Agriculture will
release its prospective plantings report March 31 at 8:30 a.m. EDT.

The National Oilseed Processors Association is expected to estimate February
soybean crush at 126.2 million bushels, down from last month on sluggish
domestic meal demand, according to a survey of industry analysts. NOPA soyoil
stocks in February are expected to increase by 158 million pounds to 2.551
billion pounds from the 2.393 billion reported in January. NOPA is expected to
release its figures Monday at 8:30 a.m. EDT (1230 GMT).

Argentina's 2007-08 soybean production will total just 40 million to 42
million metric tons, a 9% to 12% drop on the year, according to the Argentine
Association of Agricultural Research Consortiums, or CREA. The CREA report adds
to the chorus of private forecasts predicting a sharp drop in production due to
a brutal drought early this year and late in 2008.

SOY PRODUCTS


Soy product futures ended mostly lower, moving in unison with soybeans. The
markets backpedaled off recent gains, but soymeal still managed to gain product
share on spreads. End-of-week positioning and outlooks for sluggish domestic
demand for both meal and oil aided the markets weaknesses, traders said.

In pit trades, speculative fund selling was estimated at 1,000 lots in both
soyoil and soymeal.

May oil share ended at 35.28%. The May crush ended at 64 cents.

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