* Rushed buying out of Indonesia lifts palm futures - trader
* Levy could lower CPO prices in Indonesia, but could
translate to better biodiesel demand - analyst
KUALA LUMPUR, March 23 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil
futures rose on Monday as Indonesia's plan to impose levies on
crude palm exports triggered hasty buying from the top producer,
although traders say gains are "unsustainable" as the tropical
oil battles with dwindling global demand.
Indonesian officials are preparing new rules for a charge of
$50 on every tonne of crude palm oil (CPO) shipped at a zero
export tax rate, with the funds going to help pay for biodiesel
subsidies announced in recent weeks. The measure is pending
approval by President Joko Widodo who will return from his
overseas trips on March 30.
The key palm grower, which supplies around 52 percent of the
world's palm oil, has set its crude palm oil export tax for
March at zero, unchanged since October last year.
"This buying is because people want to avoid the $50 levy
before the bill is signed by Jokowi," said a trader with a
foreign commodities brokerage in Kuala Lumpur.
"Once the speculative buying is over, then it will be bad.
Who wants to pay so high when there know there's a lot of supply
in Indonesia? These are very short-term, unsustainable gains."
The benchmark June contract on the Bursa Malaysia
Derivatives had inched up 1.2 percent to 2,186 ringgit ($592) a
tonne by Monday's close, pausing a losing streak that had
dragged prices to their biggest weekly drop since November last
week.
Total traded volume stood at 40,932 lots of 25 tonnes,
higher than the average 35,000 lots.
Analysts say while the potential tax levy could lower CPO
prices in Indonesia and be negative for pure upstream palm oil
players in the short term, it could underpin prices if the
measure is successful in boosting biodiesel demand.
"This levy could be a medium-term positive for CPO players,
if it is successful in boosting biodiesel demand, resulting in
stronger CPO prices," said CIMB's Ivy Ng in a note on Monday.
In other markets, oil prices fell further on Monday, with
Brent dropping below $55 a barrel, after top exporter Saudi
Arabia said it would only consider cutting output if other
producers outside OPEC did so too.
The U.S. soyoil contract for May was up 0.8 percent
in late Asian trade, while the most active September soybean oil
contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange rose 0.6
percent.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1025 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL APR5 2190 +22.00 2173 2210 282
MY PALM OIL MAY5 2192 +25.00 2180 2212 5760
MY PALM OIL JUN5 2186 +26.00 2173 2208 22095
CHINA PALM OLEIN SEP5 4730 +16.00 4642 4744 714462
CHINA SOYOIL SEP5 5452 +30.00 5372 5464 570804
CBOT SOY OIL MAY5 30.91 +1.90 30.66 30.96 6861
INDIA PALM OIL MAR5 440.00 +1.90 439.30 442.80 382
INDIA SOYOIL APR5 583.60 +1.30 583.50 586.90 12365
NYMEX CRUDE MAY5 45.60 -0.97 45.33 46.44 31870
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
India soy oil in Indian rupee per 10 kg
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
($1 = 3.6945 Malaysian ringgit)
($1 = 6.2160 Chinese yuan)
($1 = 62.33 Indian rupee)
Регион | Закуп. | Изм. | Прод. | Изм. |
---|---|---|---|---|
ЦФО |
29150.00 | + 700 | 29160.00 | + 660 |
ПФО |
27950.00 | + 300 | 28050.00 | + 50 |
СКФО |
28700.00 | + 500 | 28950.00 | - 50 |
ЮФО |
28150.00 | - 200 | 28950.00 | - 50 |
СФО |
28400.00 | - 100 | 28300.00 | - 200 |
Регион | Закуп. | Изм. | Прод. | Изм. |
---|---|---|---|---|
ЦФО |
71000.00 | + 850 | 73250.00 | + 1380 |
ЮФО |
69800.00 | + 200 | 74000.00 | + 3500 |
ПФО |
71000.00 | + 1450 | 73000.00 | + 2950 |
СФО |
72000.00 | + 1800 | 75000.00 | + 4500 |
Обсуждение