00:05, 22.08.2008 — Новости
автор: webagro.net

DJ CBOT Soy Review: Rally Holds On Oil Strength, Falling Dollar (ENG)


By Rebecca Townsend

Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES


CHICAGO (Dow Jones)--Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures closed higher
Thursday, driven by dramatic gains in crude oil and a weakening dollar.

September soybeans settled 47 1/4 cents higher at $13.41 a bushel. The most
actively traded November soybean contract ended 48 cents higher at $13.48 after
briefly touching the exchange-imposed 70-cent maximum trading limit, inspiring
5-cent gains on synthetic trades in the December.

By finishing above $13.41, the bulls broke the solid technical-support level
of the November contract outlined by a market technician earlier in the day.
The November contract also finished above the 10-, 20- and 200-day moving
averages.

December soymeal settled $5.00 higher at $358.70 per short ton. December
soyoil finished limit up, 250 points higher, at 56.35 cents per pound.

The ICE Futures U.S. Dollar index lost nearly 1%, trading down 0.769 point at
76.189 as crude oil sustained gains of more than $5.

The chance of rain through the weekend has been factored into the market, and
investors are waiting for less-than-anticipated precipitation levels to add
bullish fuel, traders and analysts say.

Exports sales for new-crop beans are "well ahead of the last couple years,"
said Bill Nelson, an analyst at Wachovia. And despite China's net cancellations
of 31,400 metric tons reflected in the U.S. Department of Agriculture's weekly
export sales report released Thursday, old-crop sales are also ahead of the
previous year.

As the eastern leg of the 2008 U.S. Pro Farmer Tour moved into east-central
Iowa, participants noted unplanted fields, spotty, below-average pod counts and
better soil moisture than seen on the first three days.

On the western leg of the tour, participants noted good vegetation on soybean
plants in southwest Minnesota, a lack of moisture stress and solid pod counts.

On Friday at 10 a.m. EDT, Pro Farmer will release a crop estimate, which is
based in part on tour participants' calculations.

The current Corn Belt forecast shows probable rains, "but widespread 1-inch
amounts are necessary to alleviate dryness with 2 inches ideal," said Mike
Tannura, T-Storm Weather president and meteorologist, noting 2 inches is very
unlikely and 1 inch is not probable.

"Most of the anticipated rainfall for the coming week will be less than
ongoing drying loss for the same period and therefore evoke little or no change
in the total soil condition," said meteorologist David Salmon of Weather
Derivatives. "I advised my subscribers last night to expect continued erosion
of crop conditions, though hardly a famine."

Funds bought an estimated 6,000 contracts.

SOY PRODUCTS


Soy-product futures followed an explosive soybean rally Thursday. Soyoil drew
additional support from higher palm oil prices, traders and analysts said.

December oil share ended at 43.99%, and the November/December crush ended at
61 cents.

Speculative funds bought an estimated at 2,000 lots in soymeal and bought
3,000 lots in soyoil.

Indonesia will lower its export tax on crude palm oil to 10% for September,
down from the current tax rate of 15%, said a senior government official
Thursday.

"Crude palm oil prices have fallen from highs of $1,200 a metric ton earlier
this year to current levels of around $850/ton now, so the government will
adjust the tax rate accordingly," said Bayu Krisnamurthi, deputy to Indonesia's
coordinating minister for economy.

Krisnamurthi said Indonesia is poised to increase palm oil production in the
next few years to produce 20 million tons of crude palm oil, while exports are
expected at 15 million tons.

The lower crude palm oil tax should encourage purchasers to increase stocks
in the expectation of increased exports.


Обсуждение

Для того, чтобы оставить комментарий вам нужно зарегистрироваться или авторизоваться.
Последние публикации в разделе
Популярное за неделю

Подпишись в соц.сетях!
на 2024-05-24
Регион Закуп. Изм. Прод. Изм.
ЦФО
32900.00 + 1950 33200.00 + 2000
ПФО
32000.00 + 1690 32500.00 + 1500
СКФО
33000.00 + 1350 33500.00 + 1500
ЮФО
33000.00 + 1500 33500.00 + 1500
СФО
33000.00 + 1000 34000.00 + 1000
на 2024-05-24
Регион Закуп. Изм. Прод. Изм.
ЦФО
74000.00 + 1000 74500.00 + 1000
ЮФО
73000.00 + 1000 75000.00 + 1000
ПФО
73500.00 + 1500 75000.00 + 1800
СФО
74000.00 + 500 76000.00 + 1100

Сводная таблица по зарубежным индексам

Сравнение котировок

Мировые балансы


Выберите регион
все страны и регионы