CHICAGO (Dow Jones)--Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures ended sharply
higher Friday, surging to new contract highs, bolstered by speculative buys
associated with spillover strength from corn and supportive crop data from the
U.S. Department of Agriculture.
March soybeans ended 42 1/4 cents higher at $7.16 1/2. March soymeal settled
$15.20 higher at $209.60 per short ton, while March soyoil ended 79 points
higher at 29.15 cents a pound.
The influence of limit-up corn futures served as the driver of the market's
upward charge, as the need for soybeans to follow corn in an effort to battle
for 2007 acres uncovered a plethora of speculative buying, analysts said.
The USDA's unexpected cut in U.S. soybean production was friendly to the
bullish cause, but perceptions soybeans somehow have to follow along with corn
proved to be a key factor in the market's overall bullish theme, said Dan
Basse, president of AgResource Co. in Chicago.
Corn played a key role in the movement of soybeans, as the inability of
traders to buy corn amid its locked limit status throughout the day attracted
panic buying in soybeans and wheat, as traders looked for areas to buy, said a
CBOT floor analyst.
The soybean crop report was friendly, but not to the magnitude of Friday's
price gains, and with another large crop expected from the Southern Hemisphere,
this illustrates how soybeans were dependent on corn for its strength, said
John Kleist of Top Third Ag Marketing in Chicago.
USDA reported U.S. soybean production for the 2006-07 marketing year at a
record 3.188 billion bushels. The figure is down from the 3.204 billion
forecast in the USDA's November report and below the average of analysts'
estimates at 3.235 billion. USDA reported soybean stocks as of Dec. 1 at 2.697
billion bushels, well below the average trade estimate of 2.736 billion.
CBOT markets will be closed Monday in observance of the Martin Luther King
Jr. Holiday.
On tap for Tuesday, the National Oilseed Processors Association is scheduled
to release its December soybean crush report at 8:30 a.m. EST. Analysts
surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires peg the crush at 148.7 million bushels.
Estimates for the report ranged from as low as 145.4 million bushels to as high
as 150.5 million bushels. NOPA soyoil stocks in December are expected to
increase by 41 million pounds to 2.735 billion pounds from the 2.694 billion
reported in November.
In pit trades, ADM Investor Services bought 1,200 March, Man Financial and RJ
O'Brien each bought 1,500 March, Calyon Financial bought 1,000 March. UBS
Securities sold 1,500 March and Rand Financial sold 1,000 March. Speculative
funds were estimated buyers of between 10,000 and 12,000 contracts.
SOY PRODUCTS
Soy product futures rallied sharply, in tune with the bullish theme filtering
through soybeans.
Soymeal futures were upside leader of the products, bolstered by speculative
buying. The market rallied to new contract highs, with nearby futures soaring
to their highest levels since August 2005 on continuation charts. Futures
pushed above the psychological $200.00-per-short ton level for the first time
since November on continuation charts.
Speculative buying proved to be the key driver of prices, with soaring
soybean futures providing strength to the products, analysts said.
Soyoil futures rallied to 1 1/2-week highs, in step with the rest of the
complex, but soymeal/soyoil spreading did manage to trim oil share, traders
said.
March oil share ended at 41.02% and the March crush ended at 65 1/4 cents.
In soymeal trades, Iowa Grain, Man Financial and Rosenthal each bought 1,000
March, with Bunge Chicago and Calyon Financial each buyers of 500 March. Fortis
sold 1,000 March, Bunge Chicago sold 500 March and Rand Financial sold 400
March. Speculative funds were estimated buyers of 3,000 contracts.
In soyoil trades, speculative fund buying was estimated at 5,000 contracts.
UBS Securities and Calyon Financial each bought 500 march, with Fimat buying
400 March.
Регион | Закуп. | Изм. | Прод. | Изм. |
---|---|---|---|---|
ЦФО |
29150.00 | + 700 | 29160.00 | + 660 |
ПФО |
27950.00 | + 300 | 28050.00 | + 50 |
СКФО |
28700.00 | + 500 | 28950.00 | - 50 |
ЮФО |
28150.00 | - 200 | 28950.00 | - 50 |
СФО |
28400.00 | - 100 | 28300.00 | - 200 |
Регион | Закуп. | Изм. | Прод. | Изм. |
---|---|---|---|---|
ЦФО |
71000.00 | + 850 | 73250.00 | + 1380 |
ЮФО |
69800.00 | + 200 | 74000.00 | + 3500 |
ПФО |
71000.00 | + 1450 | 73000.00 | + 2950 |
СФО |
72000.00 | + 1800 | 75000.00 | + 4500 |
Обсуждение