By Andrew Johnson Jr.
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
CHICAGO (Dow Jones)--Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures ended at session
highs Friday, rallying into the extended holiday weekend on speculative-led
buying, analysts said.
July soybeans settled 7 1/4 cents higher at $8.12 1/2, and November soybeans
finished 7 1/4 cents higher at $8.41 1/2. July soymeal settled $1.00 higher at
$218.20 per short ton. July soyoil ended 26 points higher at 35.84 cents a
pound.
The market is maintaining upside momentum, with uncertainty tied to eastern
Midwest crop conditions, strength in world vegoils markets and bullish charts
signals combining to attract fresh speculative buys, said Chad Henderson,
analyst with Prime Ag Consultants in Brookfield, Wisc.
The market rallied to new three-month highs, as traders added risk premium
amid forecasts for only light, spotty showers to move through eastern Midwest
crop areas in need of good soaking rains, analysts added.
Longer-term concerns about adequate U.S. and global production and strong
projected demand from the alternative-fuels sector provided underlying strength
to aide the bullish tone, traders added.
Nevertheless, technical momentum was a key driver of prices, with futures
targeting contract highs as a near-term objective basis the new-crop November,
Henderson added. November soybeans climbed to and intraday high of $8.42, just
shy of the contract high of $8.43.
Analysts say traders were unwilling to exit long positions until rains
actually move into the eastern belt and a clear picture of acreage is
established.
Meanwhile, CBOT markets will be closed Monday in observance of the Memorial
Day holiday.
The DTN Meteorlogix forecast said the next seven days will bring some light
rains to the Midwest, including the eastern half of the region. However, the
forecast calls for no more than three-quarters of an inch of rain in this
region, mostly in Illinois. Crop stress is beginning to show up in the eastern
Midwest. With just an average 1.18 inch of rain reported during May 2007, it
has been the driest month of May since 1934, when an average of 1.12 inch fell
in the midst of the Dust Bowl days. A widespread, soaking rain is not in the
outlook for this region, Meteorlogix reports.
In pit trades, buyers were scattered among various commission houses, with
FCStone, Calyon Financial, Man Financial, and RJ O'Brien featured buyers.
Speculative fund buying was estimated at 3,000 lots. RJ O'Brien sold 400 July,
and UBS Securities sold 300 November.
SOY PRODUCTS
Soy product futures ended higher, with soyoil carving out some new product
share. Soyoil rallied to new contract highs and the highest level for a nearby
future since 1984 on technical momentum and bullish global vegoil outlooks
associated with an expanding global biofuels industry, analysts say. However,
futures ended well off session highs, trimming advances on scattered profit
taking pressure, analysts added.
Soymeal futures ended higher, feeding off the supportive tone filtering
through the soycomplex. However, continued price strength in soyoil remains an
undermining feature to keep the market losing product share to soybeans,
analysts said.
July oil share ended at 45.09% and the July crush ended at 61 3/4 cents.
In soymeal trades, buyers and sellers were scattered among various commission
houses, with speculative funds estimated buyers of 1,500 lots on the day.
In soyoil trades, Bunge Chicago bought 900 July and Tenco bought 300 July,
with additional buyers scattered among various firms. Penson GHO sold 500 July,
with additional sellers scattered among various commission houses. Speculative
fund buying was estimated at 1,000 lots
Регион | Закуп. | Изм. | Прод. | Изм. |
---|---|---|---|---|
ЦФО |
29800.00 | + 650 | 30000.00 | + 840 |
ПФО |
28940.00 | + 990 | 29000.00 | + 950 |
СКФО |
29450.00 | + 750 | 30000.00 | + 1050 |
ЮФО |
29250.00 | + 1100 | 29700.00 | + 750 |
СФО |
29300.00 | + 900 | 29500.00 | + 1200 |
Регион | Закуп. | Изм. | Прод. | Изм. |
---|---|---|---|---|
ЦФО |
72000.00 | + 1000 | 73300.00 | + 50 |
ЮФО |
69800.00 | + 0 | 74000.00 | + 0 |
ПФО |
71500.00 | + 500 | 73100.00 | + 100 |
СФО |
72500.00 | + 500 | 74900.00 | - 100 |
Обсуждение