01:05, 20.06.2007 — Новости
автор: webagro.net

DJ WCE Grain/Oilseed Review: Lower, Canola Plunges With Soy (ENG)


WINNIPEG (Dow Jones)--Grain and oilseed futures at the Winnipeg Commodity
Exchange closed Tuesday's session lower as canola dropped sharply in step with
the big price decline in Chicago Board of Trade soy complex futures, brokers
said.

Canola trade was heavy with intermonth spreading accounting for only a
moderate amount of the volume.

The total canola volume was estimated at 19,018 contracts, up from Monday's
18,421 contracts as an estimated 7,288 contracts were involved in the spread
trade.

Canola futures started out lower and dropped heavily as the CBOT soy complex
moved to its lows late in the session. Bearish technical signals prompted
speculative selling with sell stops also triggered on the way down, traders
said. The favorable crop outlook and the very strong Canadian dollar
contributed to the price slide.

Sluggish fresh exports weighed on the market as traders noted a report from
German analyst Oil World intensified the selling. The magazine report that
Polish and Black Sea rapeseed had been sold to Mexico and Pakistan at prices
below Canadian canola.

Light crusher buying was noted as exporter pricing of old sales on a scale
down also appeared. Speculative short covering also helped to limit the price
slide.

The selling comprised commodity fund profit taking, commission house long
liquidation and steady elevator company offerings, analysts said. They
estimated that commodity funds had sold 2,500 to 3,000 November contracts
Tuesday.

Western barley dropped sharply in moderate trade. The steep decline in CBOT
corn, the favorable crop outlook and bearish technical signals sent the market
down, brokers said. Also weighing on the market was the uncertainty caused by
the legal challenge to the government move to take the export barley monopoly
away from the Canadian Wheat Board.

The buying comprised end user pricing and short covering by participants who
feel that the challenge of the government move on the CWB barley monopoly will
fail. The selling was mainly profit taking by speculators.

The total western barley volume was estimated at 1,346 contracts, up from
Monday's 784 contracts. The spread trade was estimated at 196 contracts.

Feed wheat posted losses in step with the general market price slide as the
activity composed mainly of spreading of the July/October contracts. An
estimated 263 contracts traded, up from only 1 contract traded on Monday with
an estimated 242 contracts involved in the spread trade.


Prices are in Canadian dollars per metric ton:
Settlement Change
Prices
Canola
July 373.30 dn 10.10
Nov 394.60 dn 10.80
Feed Wheat
July 171.00 dn 4.00
Oct 168.50 dn 4.00
Western barley
Oct 169.30 dn 3.50
Dec 172.00 dn 3.90


Spread trade prices are in Can dollars and the volume represents the number
of spreads

Months Price Volume

Canola
Jul/Nov 21.30-22.30 3,292
Jul/Jan 31.30 1
Nov/Jan 8.40-9.60 297
Nov/Mar 16.00 1
Nov/May 23.10 1
Nov/Jul 26.50-27.50 40
Nov/Nov 17.50-17.60 2
Jan/Jul 18.50 10

Barley
Jul/Oct 30.00-29.00 over 71
Oct/Dec 0.90-4.00 27


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