11:05, 25.03.2008 — Новости
автор: webagro.net

DJ CBOT Soy Review: Soar To 50c Limit; Oversold, Fundamentals


By Andrew Johnson Jr.

Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES


CHICAGO (Dow Jones)--Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures ended sharply
higher Monday, soaring on a recovery bounce from previous losses amid oversold
conditions and supportive underlying fundamental features.

May soybeans settled 50 cents higher at $12.57, July soybeans finished 50
cents higher at $12.72 and November soybeans ended 49 cents higher at $11.89.
May soymeal settled $20.00 higher at $330.30 per short ton. May soyoil finished
137 points higher at 55.77 cents per pound.

May soybeans were synthetically trading between $12.84 and $12.86 on the
close, traders said.

The market was technically oversold heading into Monday's session, with an
over-$3.00-a-bushel drop in price since the beginning of the month leaving
futures overdone on the downside, analysts said.

Stability in outside financial markets and the ability of Asian futures to
find support overnight gave buyers confidence to return from the sidelines,
analysts added. Traders have begun to focus attention back on the bullish
fundamentals of the market in the absence the speculative liquidation seen last
week, analysts add.

Speculative short covering was featured, with ideas the anticipated increase
in 2008 U.S. soybean plantings will not replenish stocks to comfortable levels
in the face of strong demand serving as underpinning support, a CBOT floor
broker said.

Meanwhile, commercial buying aided the gains also, with rumors of China
switching some previously purchased soybeans from Argentina to U.S. origin
providing bullish optimism as well, the broker added.

Looking forward, the market is poised to shift its attention to new-crop
fundamentals, and with tight old-crop inventories leaving little room for error
in new crop plantings and production, futures are poised to remain underpinned
heading into the planting season, analysts said.

In pit trades, buyers and sellers were scattered among various commission
houses, with speculative fund buying estimated at 4,000 lots.

SOY PRODUCTS


Soy product futures soared higher, in step with broad-based gains seen
throughout the CBOT grain complex. Soymeal futures rallied with nearby
contracts soaring to their upper daily trading limits of $20 per short ton. The
combination of spreading between the products, technical buying and spillover
from other feed gains served as the catalyst to lift futures, analysts said.

Soyoil futures rallied in unison with the rest of the complex, but advances
were limited by meal/oil spreading, analysts said. However, talk of India
trimming import duties on soyoil in line with a similar reduction to palm oil
last week supported prices, analysts added.

May oil share ended at 45.81% and the May crush ended at 83 cents.

In soymeal trades, buyers and sellers were scattered among various commission
houses, with speculative fund buying estimated at 3,000 lots.

In soyoil trades, buyers and sellers were scattered among various commission
houses, with speculative fund buying estimated at 3,000 lots.


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