01:05, 30.08.2008 — Новости
автор: webagro.net

DJ CBOT Soy Review:Consolidates Ahead Of Holiday Weekend (ENG)


By Andrew Johnson Jr

Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES


CHICAGO (Dow Jones)--Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures ended mixed
Friday, after chopping around from a firm start as the market consolidated
heading into an extended holiday weekend.

September soybeans settled 1/2 cent lower at $13.32 and November soybeans
ended unchanged at $13.24.

December soymeal settled $0.80 lower at $358.00 per short ton. December
soyoil finished 12 points higher at 54.20 cents per pound.

Pre-weekend and month-end position squaring took center stage against a
backdrop of uncertainties of Midwest weather and near-term exports while the
potential impact of Tropical Storm Gustav promoted cautious activity, said Jack
Scoville, analyst with Price Futures Group in Chicago.

Futures initially spiked higher on early gains in crude oil and weakness in
the U.S. dollar, but as the session unfolded a reversal in those outside
markets and the sensitivity of soybeans to weather attracted sellers, as
traders reduced risk heading into the weekend, analysts added.

The potential impact of Gustav could be two-fold, as the storm could stymie
U.S. exports from the Gulf, but could provide good finishing rains for soy
crops if remnants of the storm push rain into Midwest crop areas, Scoville
said. "That uncertainty was enough to promote caution ahead of the holiday
weekend," he added.

Meanwhile, there are many different forecasts flying around in the weather
community right now regarding the rain potential in the Midwest late next week
from the remnants of Tropical Storm Gustav, Cropcast Weather Services said.

Cropcast's 6- to 10-day forecast turned wetter Friday in the western Midwest,
as both the GFS and European weather models have suggested a fairly wet pattern
in the west. However, any shift in Gustav's landfall to the east - closer to
Mobile Bay - could quickly reduce this rain potential for the Midwest, Cropcast
said. There are still plenty more questions than answers regarding this
forecast, Cropcast added.

In pit trades, speculative fund buying was estimated at 2,000 contracts.


SOY PRODUCTS


Soy product futures ended mixed, with soyoil gaining product share on the
unwinding of meal/oil spreads, technical buying and overnight strength in Asian
vegoil markets. Soymeal experienced two-sided action, succumbing to late
selling pressure on month-end position-evening, spillover from soybeans and
weakness on spreads, traders said.

December oil share ended at 43.08% and the November/December crush ended at
59 3/4 cents.

Speculative fund buying was estimated at 1,000 lots in soyoil.


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