DOW JONES NEWSWIRES Average retail prices for meat and poultry in Russia increased by more than 23 percent in 2008 while the increase in overall food prices jumped nearly 18 percent, according to a U.S. Department of Agriculture attache report posted Wednesday on the Foreign Agricultural Services Web site. Meat market analysts expect this trend to continue in 2009 as the Russian government continues to take protectionist measures to limit imports of meat and poultry. Executive Summary According to the Russian State Statistic Service (Rosstat) average retail prices for meat and poultry increased in Russia by more than 23 percent in 2008 while the overall growth of food prices in general jumped by nearly 18 percent. Demand for beef and pork is expected to decrease due to higher prices as Russian consumers begin substituting them for cheaper proteins such as chicken meat and eggs. The Russian government continues to implement protectionist measures against imported agricultural products such as increasing import duties on butter, soybean meal and dry milk powder, using tariff rate quotas to limit meat and poultry imports, delisting U.S. and European Union meat and poultry plants ostensibly for not meeting Russian requirements and other such actions. Alongside the protectionist climate in Russia, the Russian Ruble decreased by 35% against the U.S. Dollar during the last 6 months making imported agricultural products much more expensive. All of these factors are leading to higher prices throughout the production/import/wholesale trade/retail trade chain. Incomes Falling, Prices Rising Rosstat figures demonstrate that disposable income grew just 2.7% in 2008 after jumping 12.1% in 2007. In addition, Rosstat reported that inflation in January 2009 reached 2% with much of it attributed to the rise in meat and poultry prices. 2008 poultry and meat price growth were the most significant compared to other food products. The Russian government continues to implement protectionist measures against imported agricultural products such as increasing import duties on butter, soybean meal and dry milk powder, using tariff rate quotas to limit meat and poultry imports, delisting U.S. and European Union meat and poultry plants ostensibly for not meeting Russian requirements and other such action. Along side the protectionist climate in Russia, the Russian ruble decreased by 35% against the U.S. dollar during the last 6 months (1 USD = 23 Rubles in Sep 08 compared to 36 Rubles in Mar 09) making imported agricultural products much more expensive. All of these factors are leading to higher prices throughout the production /import/wholesale trade/retail trade chain. Ministry of Agriculture officials have publically vowed to limit meat and poultry imports in order to protect domestic meat and poultry producers during the global financial crisis. Outgoing Minister of Agriculture Aleksey Gordeyev has accused imported meat shipments on numerous occasions of driving down farmgate pork prices and expressed the need for serious measures to limit meat imports even if it means increasing prices for Russian consumers. A major cause of concern of Russian government officials is the ability of new pork and poultry producers to repay their subsidized loans financed under the National Priority Project for Agriculture. Increasing beef and pork prices will likely lead many Russian consumers to substitute more expensive red meats for poultry meat and eggs. Demand for pork is lower than for poultry and some importers are switching from buying hams and other premium cuts to cheaper pork offals and trimmings which are growing more popular with consumers who watch food prices rise on a monthly basis. With rising demand for poultry in 2009, prices are expected to go up for both domestic and imported products. To view full report, click here: http://www.fas.usda.gov/gainfiles/200903/146327404.doc
Регион | Закуп. | Изм. | Прод. | Изм. |
---|---|---|---|---|
ЦФО |
32900.00 | + 1950 | 33200.00 | + 2000 |
ПФО |
32000.00 | + 1690 | 32500.00 | + 1500 |
СКФО |
33000.00 | + 1350 | 33500.00 | + 1500 |
ЮФО |
33000.00 | + 1500 | 33500.00 | + 1500 |
СФО |
33000.00 | + 1000 | 34000.00 | + 1000 |
Регион | Закуп. | Изм. | Прод. | Изм. |
---|---|---|---|---|
ЦФО |
74000.00 | + 1000 | 74500.00 | + 1000 |
ЮФО |
73000.00 | + 1000 | 75000.00 | + 1000 |
ПФО |
73500.00 | + 1500 | 75000.00 | + 1800 |
СФО |
74000.00 | + 500 | 76000.00 | + 1100 |
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