ЕС. Обзор рынка зерновых и масличных на 22.05.24 г.
09:45 — Обзоры по экспорту и импорту
01:00, 04.08.2005 — Новости
автор: WebAgro.net

DJ CBOT Soy Review: Down Sharply On Technicals, Weather (ENG)


 CHICAGO (Dow Jones)--Soybean futures on the Chicago Board of Trade ended
sharply lower Wednesday, with technical weakness and rumblings of rain
potential for the Midwest uncorking a wave of speculative selling.

August soybeans ended 19 1/2 cents lower at $6.70 a bushel, November soybeans
ended 23 cents lower at $6.81 1/2, December soymeal settled $6.70 lower at
$209.80 a short ton, and December soyoil ended 66 points lower at 24.72 cent a
pound.

Once speculative buying dried up above $7.00 in November and weather
forecasters began to talk up better rain chances, the market ran into an air
pocket of buying, essentially kicking the legs out from under the market, said
John Kleist, analyst with Kleist Agricultural Consulting.

Futures have settled into a choppy trading pattern, with the absence of a
need to extend weather premium beyond the $7.00 level limiting upside momentum,
while uncertainty tied weather conditions has kept a floor under prices, added
Kleist.

Choppy two-sided trade was consistent through the first half of the session,
until wetter extended weather outlooks and technical selling surfaced to pin
prices in negative territory. The declines accelerated once the November
contract slid below major moving averages and the psychological $7.00 per
bushel level.

The sensitivity of the market to weather conditions during soybean's key pod
filling stage of development continues to produce a volatile atmosphere, with
traders essentially unwilling to aggressively push or pull the market amid
uncertainty of the crop's production potential, analysts said.

Longer range weather models show a somewhat better rain potential for the
Midwest, with the possibility for some subtle changes in the weather pattern
next week that may allow some scattered showers to develop on a more regular
basis, said John Dee, president Global Weather Monitoring in Lake Linden, MI.

Meanwhile, near-term forecasts continue to point to limited rain potential
for key areas of the eastern Midwest through the weekend, with temperatures
warming after a cool front moves through the region Thursday and Friday.

On tap for Thursday, the U.S. Department of Agriculture is scheduled to
release its weekly export sales report at 7:30 a.m. CDT (1230 GMT). Analysts
anticipate commitments in the range of 25,000 to 80,000 metric tons.

In pit trades, ADM Investor Services, Calyon Financial, Rand Financial and
Refco each bought 300 November, Bunge Chicago and Cargill each bought 200
November.

On the sell side, Cargill Investor Services sold 1,000 November, Citigroup,
RJ O'Brien and Man Financial each sold 500 November, Fimat sold 300 November
and Refco sold 700 November.

South American soybean futures fell sharply Wednesday. September futures
settled 21 cents lower at $6.98.


SOY PRODUCTS


Soymeal futures ended lower across the board, pressured by technical selling
and spillover weakness from the slide in soybean futures. The absence of fresh
fundamental news to support prices kept futures keying on soybean movement and
with prices breaching support at major moving averages, selling pressure
accelerated, traders said.

Soyoil futures fell sharply Wednesday, retracing most of Tuesday's strong
gains. Speculative profit taking was attributed to views that Tuesday's gains
were a bit overdone. Coupled with spillover weakness from soybean, that set the
stage for the losses.

"Without the speculative buying support seen Tuesday, futures had little
reason to extend the rally, consolidating on technical selling attributed the
December futures ability to penetrate underlying support," said a CBOT
commission house broker.

December oil share ended at 36.69%, and the November/December crush finished
at 34 3/4 cent.

In soymeal trades, Cargill Investor Services bought 300 September and 600
December, Prudential Financial bought 200 September, Term Commodities and
Cargill were each light buyers. Bunge Chicago sold 400 October, Cargill sold
300 September, RJ O'Brien and Refco each sold 300 December.

In soyoil trades, Man Financial bought 200 December, Bunge Chicago bought 200
October. Bunge Chicago sold 500 December, Citigroup sold 500 December, RJ
O'Brien sold 200 December, with selling scattered among various firms.



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ЕС. Обзор рынка зерновых и масличных на 22.05.24 г.
09:45 — Обзоры по экспорту и импорту

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