09:16, 23.08.2005 — Новости
автор: WebAgro.net

DJ CBOT Soy Review: Climbs On Technicals, Dry Weather (ENG)


 CHICAGO (Dow Jones)--Soybean futures on the Chicago Board of Trade ended firm
and at session highs Monday, bolstered by technical buying and crop concerns
amid only limited U.S. Midwest rain prospects during the next 10 days, traders
said.

November soybeans ended 9 3/4 cents higher at $6.17 1/4, December soymeal
settled $2.90 higher at $192.30 a short ton, and December soyoil ended 22
points higher at 22.74 cents a pound.

Along with oversold technical conditions, drier U.S. Midwest crop weather
outlooks and hot, dry forecasts for pod-filling U.S. Delta fields this week
underpinned prices, analysts said.

Overall activity was relatively subdued, with futures managing to find a
comfort level after the first hour of trade. Heading into the session futures
had reached oversold conditions in last week's trek to three-month lows. The
9-day relative strength index (RSI) for November futures ended Monday at 29.47,
up from Friday's close of 19.53. A RSI reading below 30.00 is considered
oversold. The November futures managed to settle back above their 200-day
moving average, a point of major support and resistance.

The absence of forecasts projecting an extension of last week's cool and wet
conditions across the soybean belt failed to generate aggressive selling
pressure, placing increased focus on oversold technical conditions, traders
said.

Otherwise, hot, dry conditions in the U.S Delta and concerns that soybean
plants need another three weeks of timely rains to stabilize and increase yield
potential enticed participants to buy market strength Monday, said a CBOT
commission house broker.

DTN Meteorlogix said unrelenting hot and dry weather is on tap for the
Mississippi Delta, with mostly dry weather during the next 10 days across the
Midwest.

The first reports from crop scouts on the John Deere/Pro Farmer crop tour of
Midwest fields reported wide variability of soybean crops in South Dakota, with
as-expected conditions in Ohio.

Meanwhile, weekly soybean export inspections from the U.S. Department of
Agriculture totaled 5.522 million bushels, down from 6.800 million last week.
This was within expectations that ranged from 4 million to 9 million bushels.

The USDA is scheduled to release its weekly crop progress reports at 3 p.m.
CDT (2000 GMT). Analysts anticipate crops rated in good-to-excellent condition
to come in 1 to 3 percentage points higher than last week.

In pit trades, ADM Investor Services, Cargill Investor Services, Citigroup,
Prudential Financial and DT Trading each bought 200 November, Refco bought 500
November and Rand Financial bought 400 November.

On the sell side, Cargill and UBS Securities each sold 500 November, Tenco
and Refco each sold 300 November, and Man Financial sold 600 November.

South American soybean futures ended higher across the board. The September
futures settled 7 1/2 cents higher at $6.46.


Soy Products


Soy-product futures ended higher across the board, rebounding from last
week's setbacks on technical buying in relatively quiet trading. Both markets
followed the lead of soybeans, but soymeal did manage to trim oil share
percentage.

December oil share slipped to 37.16%, and the November/December crush was at
56 cents.

In soymeal trades, ADM Investor Services and Man Financial each bought 200
December. Goldenberg Hehmeyer and Refco each sold 200 December, Bunge Chicago
sold 100 December, and Cargill and Merrill Lynch each sold 100 September.

In soyoil trades, Calyon Financial bought 200 December, Tenco bought 300
October, Bunge Chicago, Merrill Lynch and Refco each bought 200 December, and
Cargill bought 20 October. ABN Amro and Refco each sold 200 September.



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