09:12, 26.08.2005 — Новости
автор: WebAgro.net

DJ CBOT Soy Review: Stumbles On Weather, Spec Selling (ENG)


 CHICAGO (Dow Jones)--In a continuation of Wednesday's late stumble, soybean
futures on the Chicago Board of Trade fell to nearly five-month lows Thursday,
with the most-active November futures plowing below the psychological
$6.00-per-bushel level.

November soybeans ended 15 cents lower at $5.97 3/4, December soymeal settled
$4.30 lower at $186.20 a short ton, and December soyoil ended 44 points lower
at 22.32 cent a pound.

Speculative and technically based selling were keynote features in the day's
slide, with favorable near-term weather for pod-filling soybeans and
better-than-expected crop conditions reported from the John Deere/Pro Farmer
Midwest crop tour increasing yield prospects for the 2005 crop, analysts said.

The defensive theme was consistent from outset, with bearish yield and
production potential shaking the foundation of the market. As the session
unfolded, technically based selling became a featured attraction, with selling
accelerating once key support levels were penetrated.

Traders said speculative long liquidation and outright selling kept pressure
on prices, with sell-stops triggered at the $6.04 and the $6.00 levels basis
November futures. The market has priced in improved yield potential and
effectively erased all of crop-scare gains held since late May.

In fact, the November futures dropped to their lowest levels since April 18
and settled below the $6.00 level for the first time since April 1.

In pit trades, ADM Investor Services bought 1,000 November and Cargill bought
500 November.

On the sell side, ADM Investor Services, Calyon Financial and Rand Financial
each sold 500 November, ABN Amro sold 600 November, Cargill Investor Services
sold 3,000 November, Refco sold 2,000 November and Iowa Grain sold 400
November.

Commodity funds were estimated sellers of between 9,000 and 10,000 tons.

South American soybean futures ended lower across the board. The September
futures settled 16 1/2 cents lower at $6.26.


Soy Products


Soymeal futures fell to nearly five-month lows along with soybeans.
Speculative selling was featured, with the bearish influence of a higher-than-
expected stocks figure from the July Census crush report adding to the
defensive tone filtering through the market.

Soyoil futures fell to three-month lows, retreating to areas of support on
technical charts, with spillover weakness from the slide in soybeans and a
much-higher-than-anticipated stocks figure from the Census Bureau's crush
report weighing on prices.

December oil share improved to 37.47%, and the November/December crush was at
57 1/2 cents.

In soymeal trades, Bunge Chicago bought 700 December, Fimat bought 400
December and Cargill bought 200 September and 200 December. Calyon Financial
sold 600 September and 700 December, ABN Amro sold 300 December, and Cargill
Investor Services sold 300 September and 800 December. Speculative fund selling
was pegged between 2,000 and 3,000 contracts.

In soyoil trades, Calyon Financial bought 300 December, Bunge Chicago and
Citigroup each bought 300 September, and Refco bought 1,300 December. Cargill
sold 600 October, Calyon Financial sold 300 September, Cargill Investor
Services sold 400 December, Goldenberg Hehmeyer sold 500 December, Man
Financial sold 300 December and Refco sold 400 December. Commodity fund selling
was estimated at 2,000 lots.



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