By Andrew Johnson Jr
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
CHICAGO (Dow Jones)--Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures tumbled Monday,
erasing risk premium as Midwest weather outlooks are seen promoting crop
development.
August soybeans settled 33 1/2 cents lower at $15.82 and November soybeans
ended 37 cents lower at $15.59. The spot month July futures quietly expired 35
1/2 cents lower at $15.95.
December soymeal settled $12.90 lower at $415.20 per short ton. December
soyoil finished 82 points lower at 65.20 cents per pound.
"The price weakness was all weather related," said Brian Hoops, president
Midwest Market Solutions in Yankton, South Dakota.
Weather models on Friday pointed toward a heat ridge forming in the Midwest,
but the models on Sunday took the heat away, calling for seasonal temperatures
with above normal precipitation in 6 to 10-day outlooks.
The market effectively extracted some risk premium, as near term weather
seems ideal for developing soybean crops, said Hoops.
Outside markets provided mixed signals, with a midday bounce in crude oil
futures lending support, but not enough to overcome the dominant influence of
weather, analysts added.
Technical selling played a role in the market's slide as well, with the most
active November future hovering around its 20-day moving average for most of
the day.
The DTN Meteorlogix weather forecast calls for temperatures to be in the
range of 85-92 Fahrenheit over the Midwest east of Interstate 35 (central
Iowa). This round of heat, on the heels of the widespread rain last week and
weekend, means a favorable weather pattern for corn pollination and soybean
blooming.
During the past weekend, rainfall of two to five inches covered the central
Corn Belt - from eastern Iowa to central Indiana. This rainfall is a timely
boost for soil moisture as corn and soybeans move into their reproductive
stages this growing season, Meteorlogix reports.
Meanwhile, analysts expect crops rated good to excellent conditions are
expected to rise by 1 to 3 percentage points, with percentage of crops blooming
seen rising to 25%.
Soybeans love sunshine, and the Midwest has had its share lately, and that
should have boosted the crops' blooming percentage, said Hoops. U.S. Department
of Agriculture is scheduled to release its weekly crop progress report at 4
p.m. EDT.
In pit trades, buyers and sellers were scattered among various commission
houses, with speculative fund selling estimated at 3,000 lots.
SOY PRODUCTS
Soy product futures ended lower, consolidating off Friday's gains. The
products moved in unison with the slide in soybeans as benign Midwest weather
conditions improved soybean yield potential. Speculative selling was featured.
December oil share ended at 43.98% and the November/December crush ended at
71 1/2 cents.
In soymeal trades, buyers and sellers were scattered among various
commission, with speculative fund selling estimated at 2,000 lots.
In soyoil trades, buyers and sellers were scattered among various commission
houses, with speculative fund selling estimated at 2,000 lots.
Регион | Закуп. | Изм. | Прод. | Изм. |
---|---|---|---|---|
ЦФО |
29800.00 | + 650 | 30000.00 | + 840 |
ПФО |
28940.00 | + 990 | 29000.00 | + 950 |
СКФО |
29450.00 | + 750 | 30000.00 | + 1050 |
ЮФО |
29250.00 | + 1100 | 29700.00 | + 750 |
СФО |
29300.00 | + 900 | 29500.00 | + 1200 |
Регион | Закуп. | Изм. | Прод. | Изм. |
---|---|---|---|---|
ЦФО |
72000.00 | + 1000 | 73300.00 | + 50 |
ЮФО |
69800.00 | + 0 | 74000.00 | + 0 |
ПФО |
71500.00 | + 500 | 73100.00 | + 100 |
СФО |
72500.00 | + 500 | 74900.00 | - 100 |
Обсуждение