Обзор USDA май 2024. Первый прогноз на сезон 2024/2025
02:40 — Обзоры по экспорту и импорту
01:10, 16.07.2008 — Новости
автор: webagro.net

DJ CBOT Corn Review: Down On Crude; Technicals A ''Mess'' (ENG)


By Ian Berry
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES


CHICAGO (Dow Jones)--Chicago Board of Trade corn futures ended lower Tuesday,
failing to recover after being "ambushed" by plunging crude-oil prices.

September corn ended down 15 1/2 cents to $6.48 1/4, December corn ended down
15 1/2 cents to $6.66 3/4 and March 2009 corn ended down 15 cents to $6.85 1/4.

Prices in corn, along with other commodities, fell early in trading after
crude oil plummeted more than $9, analysts said. Crude settled more than $6
lower, its largest dollar drop since 1991.

"Crude oil took in a huge gulp of air and choked everything else down," Jerry
Gidel, analyst for North America Risk Management Services.

The market continued to erase gains from its June rally on historic flooding,
as the December contract closed below the 50-day moving average for a second
straight day. Prior to Monday it had not closed below that average since March,
and then only for one day.

"Technically, we're still a mess," a trader said. "The only thing we've got
going for it is that it's potentially oversold."

On July 2, prices closed higher by almost 30 cents, the daily trading limit,
on concerns about a potential heat wave in the long-range forecast. Since that
July 2 close at $7.80 1/2 for December corn, prices have ended higher seven of
eight days.

Traders are very sensitive to the weather now but are finding little bullish
news in forecasts. A rally is unlikely until and unless a hot, dry weather
pattern emerges that could place the crop in danger, traders and analysts said.

Analysts had expected a technical rebound today on oversold conditions and
overnight gains, but the drop in energy prices halted any upside momentum.

One trader said that the broader economy is starting to pressure commodities.
A developing deflationary environment could damp demand, he said.

CBOT oats futures ended lower on fund selling and pressure from other
markets, a trader said. September oats were down 7 1/2 cents to $4.32 per
bushel, December oats were down 8 1/2 cents to $4.49 and March oats were down 7
1/2 cents to $4.67. The trader said commercial buyers gave underlying support
to the December and March contracts.

Ethanol ended lower. September ethanol fell $0.101 to $2.585 per gallon, and
December ethanol was flat at $2.675.


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Обзор USDA май 2024. Первый прогноз на сезон 2024/2025
02:40 — Обзоры по экспорту и импорту
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