By Tom Polansek
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
CHICAGO (Dow Jones)--Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures ended lower
Wednesday but off session lows amid pressure from favorable crop outlooks,
losses in crude oil and the unwinding of inter-market spreads, analysts said.
Nearby August soybeans closed down 22 1/2 cents at $13.94 1/4 per bushel, off
its session low of $13.77. November soybeans sank 25 cents to $13.84, ending
off its session low of $13.63.
August soymeal slipped $3.10 to $376.10 per short ton, and August soyoil
dropped 158 points to 58.55 cents per pound.
Traders were unwinding long soybean/short corn spreads, as it seemed that
corn "ran out of some selling pressure" after tumbling more than $2 from last
month's all-time highs, said Brian Hoops, president of Midwest Market
Solutions. Corn temporarily traded higher during the session before sliding
into the close.
"We did a lot of that unwinding, which is why I think we kept that soybean
market under some pressure," Hoops said.
Weather doesn't look threatening to the crop in the U.S. Midwest heading into
a critical development period in August, an analyst said. Conditions for corn
and soybeans look mostly favorable after fears about Midwest flooding supported
rallies last month, he said.
"It doesn't look like there's anything too scary for August," the analyst
said. "You don't want to put a lot of stock in it, but even if you totally
ignore (long-range forecasts) and look at the subsoil moisture we have going
into August, it's going to be pretty hard to ruin the bean crop."
The soy market is in an oversold condition and "could see some bounce in here
anytime," Hoops said. However, "there're no fundamentals to assume a bounce
would be happening anytime soon," he said.
A setback in crude oil also weighed on the soy complex, traders said.
Commodity funds sold an estimated 3,000 contracts at the CBOT.
Looking ahead, the Census Bureau's crush report is scheduled for release at 8
a.m. EDT Thursday. The average of analysts' estimates for the June U.S. soybean
crush is 140.1 million bushels, down from the May crush of 150.4 million,
according to a Dow Jones Newswires survey of five analysts.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture at 8:30 a.m. EDT Thursday will issue its
weekly export sales report. Soybean sales are estimated at 200,000 to 500,000
tons.
SOY PRODUCTS
CBOT soy product futures closed lower amid spillover selling from weaker
soybeans and sinking crude oil, traders said. Soymeal retreated to negative
territory after gaining earlier in the session.
Commodity funds sold an estimated 2,000 soyoil contracts and were seen as
even in soymeal.
In the Census report, June soymeal stocks are seen at 328,800 short tons,
down from the 431,528 short tons reported for May. Soyoil stocks are seen at
2.911 billion pounds in the report, down from 2.972 billion the previous month.
Weekly soymeal export sales are estimated at 75,000 to 180,000 tons. Weekly
soyoil export sales are estimated at zero to 45,000 tons.
Регион | Закуп. | Изм. | Прод. | Изм. |
---|---|---|---|---|
ЦФО |
29800.00 | + 650 | 30000.00 | + 840 |
ПФО |
28940.00 | + 990 | 29000.00 | + 950 |
СКФО |
29450.00 | + 750 | 30000.00 | + 1050 |
ЮФО |
29250.00 | + 1100 | 29700.00 | + 750 |
СФО |
29300.00 | + 900 | 29500.00 | + 1200 |
Регион | Закуп. | Изм. | Прод. | Изм. |
---|---|---|---|---|
ЦФО |
72000.00 | + 1000 | 73300.00 | + 50 |
ЮФО |
69800.00 | + 0 | 74000.00 | + 0 |
ПФО |
71500.00 | + 500 | 73100.00 | + 100 |
СФО |
72500.00 | + 500 | 74900.00 | - 100 |
Обсуждение